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Early Season Trends

Even though we're only 5 games into the season, there is already a large break in action.  The Flyers will only play once between now and next Thursday, which is both good and bad.  Bad we don't have any hockey to watch but good that JVR and Blair Betts can get some recovery time.

With this free time, I decided to look at some of this season's stats.  Now, before anybody yells "sample size!", it's important to realize this is just to point out trends.  But there are in fact some emerging already.  Check after the jump.

Star-divide

First, it appears as if John Stevens wants Mike Richards on the ice to take defensive zone faceoffs.  Richards has been on the ice for 25 of them, as opposed to 7 in the offensive zone and 29 in the neutral zone.  Only Chris Pronger and Matt Carle have started in their own end more frequently.  In contrast, Blair Betts was on the ice for 12 defensive draws in 3 games.  One would imagine Richards' number would be even higher (is even higher?) if Betts wasn't on the team (since he's been hurt). 

Even with Richards on the ice for 5 defensive draws a game, the team still isn't winning those face-offs.  Only two players have been on the ice for more defensive zone wins than losses so far this season and you won't even guess who they are; James van Riemsdyk (3 for 5) and Darroll Powe (7 for 13).  That's because the best face-off man this year has in fact been Darroll Powe (5 for 9).  Betts (50 FOs) and Danny Briere (4 FOs) are an even 50%, while Giroux (43 FOs) is one loss below 50%.

Second, in terms of where players start (offensive zone vs. defensive zone), it is clear John Stevens wants van Riemsdyk and Danny Briere away from their own net, as they begin in the offensive zone 61.5% and 59.3% of the time, respectively.  That helps explain why JVR leads in team shots for per 60 minutes of play with 34.6 and why Briere is 5th at 32.3.  But what about shots against?

Jeff Carter and Scott Hartnell love to play wide open hockey as evidenced by them ranking #1 and #2 in SA/60 as well as #2 and #3 in SF/60.  This is probably more indicative of the fact that they have been starting all over the ice, but with Briere, Timonen, and Coburn rounding out the top 5 in SA/60, one has to wonder if the second D pair and the second O line should be split up. 

On the opposite end of the spectrum, the three players who have started in their own end most frequently - Richards (25), Pronger (29 times), and Carle (26) - are ranked 1st, 2nd, and 4th (respectively) in lowest SA/60. One cannot understate the start those three have had so far.

All stats acquired from Behind the Net.

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Face offs

It surprised me that Laperriere’s face off win percentage is so low — under 40%. Until Betts gets back, the Flyers are better off having Giroux and Powe take draws and playing Laperriere and Asham on the right side. I’d rather see Giroux on Richards’ wing, but somebody’s got to play 3rd line center.

by memphisbrando on Oct 13, 2009 7:47 PM EDT reply actions  

very good statistical analysis. Also just looking at the picture makes pronger look like a giant while richards looks like a midget.

by phish'n on Oct 13, 2009 7:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Great analysis. Hopefully Powe can continue to improve and turn into the long term anwer for the Flyers defensive center/face off specialist.

by SanDiegoScraps on Oct 13, 2009 8:44 PM EDT reply actions  

He’s got a long way to go – his goals against per 60 is 4.48, tied for second worst on the team behind Laperriere – but a lot of that might have to do with luck. I say that because his shots for, shots against, missed shots for, and missed shots against virtually mirror Simon Gagne’s, who hasn’t been on the ice for a goal against yet. This is where the small sample size comes into play.

I agree with you, and think he has a lot of room to improve. But I expect Mario to disagree.

Broad Street Hockey -
Makin' it look mean since 1967.

by Geoff Detweiler on Oct 13, 2009 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Small sample size or not, I am frustrated with this team and these stat trends are not helping . . .

by flyrsfrk05 on Oct 14, 2009 3:23 AM EDT reply actions  

Only five games in?

Do you see what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps?

by mikefive on Oct 14, 2009 8:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

They are on pace for 115 points this year, I think its a little early to be too frustrated.

The Daily Forehand -- SB Nation's Tennis Destination.
Broad Street Hockey.

by Ben Rothenberg on Oct 14, 2009 9:03 AM EDT up reply actions  


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