2010 Free Agency: A Philadelphia Flyers cheat sheet
July 1 is typically one of the most exciting days of the year for hockey fans, and it usually doesn't disappoint in our neck of the woods, considering the Flyers are a perennially active team in the free agent market. But in the run up to what many call the Christmas of the sport, we can lose our understanding of everything our team needs.
So, we bring you a bit of a cheat sheet to help you gather your thoughts and understand exactly what the Flyers are after once 12 PM hits on Thursday.
Most of this info comes via the always-excellent CapGeek.
Pending Unrestricted Free Agents
NHL-level players: Mike Rathje, Ray Emery, Lukas Krajicek, Arron Asham, Michael Leighton, Danny Syvret, Mika Pyorala
Mike Rathje finally comes off the books tomorrow after several laughable years on the long-term injured reserve. Can you believe that guy had a $3.5 million cap hit? Ray Emery won't be back for the Flyers, and that seems certain at this point with his shaky injury outlook. Lukas Krajicek will likely hit the market, and it appears the same will happen with Arron Asham, Danny Syvret and Mika Pyorala.
Michael Leighton... well, we'll get to that in a second.
Minor-leaguers: Sean Curry, Ryan Dingle, Krys Kolanos, Joey Mormina, Jared Ross, Jason Ward
Do these guys really matter? Ross is the only one that will likely ever see minutes with the Flyers, although I know how heartbroken we'd all be if we lost the centerpiece of the Luca Sbisa trade if we lost Dingle.
Pending Restricted Free Agents
NHL: Braydon Coburn, Dan Carcillo, Darroll Powe
The Flyers have extended qualifying offers to these three players, meaning that they will at least get compensation for them this summer should they sign elsewhere. It's likely that the Flyers re-up all three of them, despite news that there's been a bit of a snag in Coburn's talks.
Minor-league: Michael Teslak, Rob Bellamy, Jeremy Duchesne, David Laliberte, Matt Clackson, Josh Beaulieu
We know that the two goalies here, Michael Teslak and Jeremy Duchesne, will not be back. The rest of them? We'll see what happens.
Salary cap space / current payroll
With 11 forwards (including Riley Cote) signed, four defenseman signed and Brian Boucher / Johan Backlund as your goaltenders, the Flyers have a payroll of $49,409,762. That leaves them $10,627,738 in cap space. What will they do with it?
Key needs
Obviously, many of us believe the Flyers still need goaltending. Paul Holmgren clearly believes that as well, given his reported aggressiveness on the market this past weekend.
Also of need is a third defensive pairing. Oskars Bartulis is a suitable seventh defenseman and he's at the right price to fill that role, but we learned in the playoffs that after the top-four, there's a serious drop off. Obviously, no matter what happens, that drop off will always exist as long as the Flyers have such a great top four, but they need to go out in free agency and make it less steep of a fall.
Another winger would help things, too. As of now, it does appear that with Carcillo and Powe likely re-signing, the team is going to go with the same 12 forwards as they did last season, minus Asham. That said, they still could go after a winger to play either on the third line.
Keep in mind, after signing Carcillo and Powe (or even other free agents worth the same money, it doesn't matter, those are guys with pretty static salaries), that $10.6 million available will drop to somewhere around 9 or 9.5. After re-signing Coburn, it'll drop to somewhere around $6 million.
Potential targets
They can go three different directions in goal, really:
- They can re-sign Leighton and go with the same situation they had last year, with him and Boucher in goal and Backlund running the Phantoms ship.
- They can sign a veteran goaltender from the free agent market, keeping Boucher or Backlund or even Leighton as the backup (you'd assume Boucher since he's under contract and they want Backlund to get playing time, but they could ship Boosh away). Those potential veteran goalies?
- Marty Turco, 34, who's cap hit of $5.7 million from a year ago will go down.
- Evgeni Nabokov, 34, who will also see a decrease from the $5.375 million he saw a year ago.
- Jose Theodore, 33, who will probably earn between $3.5 and $4.5 million next season.
- Vesa Toskala, lord help us.
- Chris Mason, 34, could see his cap hit go down from $3 million.
- Dan Ellis, 30, should Montreal not sign him before noon tomorrow. Cap hit of $1.75 million last year, will probably get a slight raise.
- Martin Biron, 32. Cap hit last year; $1.4 million.
- Johan Hedberg, 37. Talks in Atlanta have hit a snag, reportedly, and he made just over $1 million last year.
- Antero Niittymaki, 30. Injury and consistency issues surround our old friend. Made 600k last year.
The good news on the goaltending front is that the Flyers are the ones in strong negotiating position. How many teams are looking for a starting goalie and how many goalies are on the list above? I took out a lot of players, too. Of the teams looking for a goalie tomorrow, the Flyers have to be the most attractive to these free agents. They'd get a clear shot at the starting job on a team that was two wins away from a Cup last year, and they'd be playing behind one of the best defenses in the league.
- The Flyers could also make a trade for a goalie, but this is the free agency primer, and trade speculation is always crazy and pure conjecture anyway.
Moving on to defense, let's look at some of the guys they could get to fill out that third pairing. Here's a list of guys that would fit, combined with their cap hit from a year ago.
They could re-sign Danny Syvret (575k) or Lukas Krajicek (700k), but there are better options still at bargain prices. Guys like Kurtis Foster (600k), Brett Lebda (650k), Jason Strudwick (700k), Shane Hnidy (750k), Mike Mottau (762,500), Mike Weaver (800k) and Jay McKee (800k). Tell me there aren't at least two players in there you could create a serviceable third pairing out of. Mottau is the name that personally, I really like.
You could fill out your third pairing for less than $2 million dollars, conceivably. But, if you wanted to take a step up, you could go after one of those guys and then a higher priced player from the next tier of free agent defensemen. If Phoenix doesn't come to terms with Zbynek Michalek, for example. He made $1.25 million last year and will get a raise.
The rest of the list: Nick Boynton (1.5m), Brad Lukowich (1.566m), Carlo Colaiacovo (1.283m), Andreas Lilja (1.25m), Jordan Leopold (1.75m), Mark Eaton (2m), Henrik Tallinder (2.562m), Joe Corvo (2.625m), and Aaron Ward (2.5m). After that, the prices hit the $3 million range.
The Flyers do not need a player like Dan Hamhuis to make their defense better. They just need to re-sign Coburn and get a better third pairing than Krajicek and Bartulis or Ryan Parent. They could spend between 2 and 3 million dollars, or even less, and fill the holes on the blueline. How much money they have available for that spot comes down to, obviously, what they do in goal and how much they spend.
It'll be interesting to see what happens tomorrow, but the Flyers certainly have options.
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Comments
Is Patrick Thoresen a good option to play on the third line? he can’t want more than one million a year
I don’t see him being an upgrade over Carcillo (likely slotted in there) or a re-signed Pyorala.
Man-crushin' on Boucher since 1999
Broad Street Hockey - Makin' it look mean since 1967.
by Geoff Detweiler on Jun 30, 2010 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions
Of the less expensive D men
I would want Hnidy as a 1A behind Mottau.
"Call me dumb, call me stupid, whatever. I block shots."
Foster will get a raise
He had an amazing year last year offensively after returning from that freak injury
the FA market for defenseman is going to be exactly opposite than that of the goaltending. Every serviceable defenseman is going to get a raise and I bet the top tier guys are going to be severely overpaid. They may not be Jeff Finger overpaid, but it could be close.
Managing Editor - HockeyOutsiders.com
by HockeyOutsiders on Jun 30, 2010 12:41 PM EDT reply actions
in terms of wings, I think Tanguay would be an interesting guy to sign as he will come cheap and put up huge points in the past. I think he’d be great next to Giroux
by historywillbemade on Jun 30, 2010 12:42 PM EDT reply actions
That would be interesting to see. there are a few wingers out there that would make for interesting pairings. If Satan would bring his ‘A’ game, he would be a sight to see paired with Giroux as well. That’s probably so much wishful thinking… but still.
"In fact, it is probably safe to say, the statement "I am a hockey fan" is the same as "I hate gary bettman."- bfrank27
Purely from a revenge-ish perspective, Mark Eaton would be fun
I’m not at all sure, productivity/$$ wise, he would be the best. He was born in Wilmington (anyone know the backstory on that?) But what a great phone call could be made!
Homer to Shero: “Hey, thanks for that 3rd round pick. We knew Hamhuis was going West. And I think Eaton will look good in our lineup. I hear Gonchar is signing elsewhere. Now who were you thinking about to help Flueury anyway?”
Two of the best nights of my life.,,,October 21, 1980 and October 29, 2008.
One of the weirdest...October 1, 1970. I kept part of one of the seats.
I was in college in Boston in 1974 and when Clarke scored the OT goal in game 2 I knew that the Flyers would win the Cup since they would never lose at home.
I remember WSTW in Wilmington making a big deal about the Flyers signing him. I forget which HS he went to though…maybe William Penn?
Thank you!
Should have remembered that, my mom went to McKean, who is their rival. Not that that has anything to do with anything.
Hnidy and/or Ward would be a cheap, steady fit on the Blue Line
And I noticed that yoiu didn’t mention Thomas in your list of goalies.
Which B's team is this?
He is 36 years old and hasn’t really been an elite goalie outside of the Vezina year. He also has a 5M cap hit for another 3 years which would put the Flyers hard against the cap with only about 5-6 M to play with. They need to get at least one forward and two defensemen under contract and have they have 3 key RFA to deal with. That is too much to spend on a guy like Thomas.
Thanks for writing a thorough and coherent version of what I tried to get at in my fanpost.
1. I read Michalek is looking to more than double his salary at least. For the potential cost of Michalek, Tallinder is quickly climbing my list for my first choice.
2. No love for Lebda. Am I missing something in his game? He has played in the big games and comes at a cheap price.
3. Carcillo getting an offer has ruined my hopes of getting an upgraded 3rd line RE, but leads me to believe a bigger name dman could land here…Volchenkov maybe if he stays under 5mil
4. I think its bargain basement shopping for the goalie, unless Holgrem can’t get that bigger name dman…then maybe Nanny or Mason is who they target.
Leighton has re-signed
http://twitter.com/RealKyper/statuses/17436490606
You're living in a parallel universe. Do not attempt angle parking.
January 11, 1976
Who knows?
But it’ll be interesting. Maybe it’s wishfull thinking but I just have this feeling that we’re going to be both surprised and pleased by the Flyer moves in the next while.
You're living in a parallel universe. Do not attempt angle parking.
January 11, 1976
by TopShelfTony on Jun 30, 2010 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm with you.
I have this feeling Homer has something incredibly slick up his sleeve and this is far from over…
1.55 per… too much for Leights. Does Boosh get dealt, and they sign someone else for the tandem? Or is this it for next year. Reese better keep coaching him up.
I think Boosh is gone.
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Broad Street Hockey - SBN's Philadelphia Flyers blog. 2010 Eastern Conference Champions.
by Travis Hughes on Jun 30, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions
I have the same feeling.
Since I’m far to lazy to go and look. Does anyone know if any of the teams that are looking for a good back-up have expendible good 3rd pairing dmen?
"Chris Pronger sneaked in the back door...banged it home."
Flyers Television Play-by-Play Man: Jim Jackson
I doubt anyone will take Boosh. He’ll either be in the minors or on waivers and bought out soon. I hope that Leights/ Backlund isn’t Homer’s plan and that he will still try to get someone. Homer has to know that the market is favorable to getting someone better at a reasonable price. Either that or he knows something that we don’t know (Nabby going to KHL)
by historywillbemade on Jun 30, 2010 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions
That still leaves Mason and a few others. Why do they have to up the drama? My hope is that for my birthday (yes, tomorrow is my birthday) I get a good goaltender.
"In fact, it is probably safe to say, the statement "I am a hockey fan" is the same as "I hate gary bettman."- bfrank27
I know. More and more, the timing of the deal for Leights just doesn’t make any sense. Homer isn’t that blind in his loyalty to Leights is he? Was he that scared by failed negotiations with Nabby and Turco?
by historywillbemade on Jun 30, 2010 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions
Needless to say, I am not happy.
Man-crushin' on Boucher since 1999
Broad Street Hockey - Makin' it look mean since 1967.
by Geoff Detweiler on Jun 30, 2010 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions
This story is on the front page of NHL.com!!!!!!
Scroll down to NHL social section
New Zealand's 4th best Philadelphia Flyers fan
by ToddtheFox on Jun 30, 2010 8:46 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
AWESOME!!!
Although it would be nice if they didn’t put BSH next to Bleacher Report.
by PursuitOfLappyness on Jun 30, 2010 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions
You’re telling me.
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Broad Street Hockey - SBN's Philadelphia Flyers blog. 2010 Eastern Conference Champions.
by Travis Hughes on Jun 30, 2010 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Front page is still front page. At least last time I checked
New Zealand's 4th best Philadelphia Flyers fan
That is true.
We’ve actually been on there a few times… never ceases to be cool. There’s an article from around SBN on there everyday.
Visit the BSH Store :: Get us on Twitter :: facebook, too!
Broad Street Hockey - SBN's Philadelphia Flyers blog. 2010 Eastern Conference Champions.
by Travis Hughes on Jun 30, 2010 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Forgot to say yesterday...
This is a really, really excellent write-up. Thanks, Travis. It’s a perfect summary of our situation heading into the FA-free-for-all.
Lightning strikes once, Hextall strikes twice!
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