Scoring Chances: Game 81, Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres

BUFFALO, NY - APRIL 08: Ville Leino #22, Kimmo Timonen #44 and Sergei Bobrovsky #35 of the Philadelphia Flyers defend against the Buffalo Sabres at HSBC Arena on April 8, 2011 in Buffalo, New York. (Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images)

The two teams traded chances throughout the first period, with the Flyers moving ahead 6-4 with two late chances. There was a stretch of eight minutes where neither team got a chance, until Scott Hartnell's goal put the Flyers in the lead.

The second period started poorly for the Flyers, with Nathan Gerbe scoring on a shot from the point. While his shot was from outside the normal "scoring chance area", the fact that Sergei Bobrovsky was screened by about six players meant I included it. It got worse when Jason Pominville got behind the defense and froze Bobrovsky while shooting over his glove.

The Sabres then went on the powerplay due to a Darroll Powe delay of game penalty. The Flyers penalty kill was dominant though, getting the only chances plus Versteeg scoring shorthanded. Danny Briere then scored as the penalty finished and the Flyers lead, 3-2. Another Flyers penalty, this one to Kimmo Timonen for interference, saw the Sabres generate two scoring chances. The Sabres would not record another scoring chance until the final four seconds with a Pominville breakaway.

The Flyers limited the Sabres to two chances in the first ten minutes of the third, but Gerbe tied the game on a backhand shot with 9:59 remaining. After the goal, the teams combined for five more chances. While it appeared the teams were playing for a tie, one chance every two minutes is only slightly under the game average of one chance every 1:45.

There was one chance in overtime, and it was the Vanek game-winning goal.

Jump for the charts.

What is a scoring chance?  A scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area -- loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots, though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net. 

Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are. A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score. He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.

Thanks to Vic Ferrari's script for allowing this to happen.

Scoring Chances for NHL Game Number 21207/ Flyers regular season game 81

Team Period Time Note PHI Opponent
PHI 1 19:06 Giroux deflect 17 25 28 35 41 93 1 4 17 19 26 29 5v5
PHI 1 19:04 Giroux rbd 17 25 28 35 41 93 1 4 17 19 26 29 5v5
BUF 1 18:31 Vanek rbd 17 25 28 35 41 93 1 4 19 26 29 34 5v5
BUF 1 17:07 McCormick 6 15 19 35 36 41 1 6 8 20 27 37 5v5
PHI 1 9:37 Hartnell GOAL 6 19 22 35 41 48 1 21 22 26 34 57 5v5
BUF 1 8:12 Ellis ms 6 10 18 21 35 41 1 4 8 17 20 37 5v5
PHI 1 6:00 Briere 19 22 25 35 41 48 1 4 17 21 22 63 5v5
BUF 1 2:28 Boyes 6 19 22 35 41 48 1 21 22 34 37 57 5v5
PHI 1 1:58 JVR 10 18 21 25 26 35 1 21 22 34 37 57 5v5
PHI 1 1:50 Giroux 5 17 28 35 44 93 1 4 12 17 28 42 5v5
BUF 2 19:36 Gerbe GOAL 10 18 21 25 35 41 1 12 28 34 42 57 5v5
PHI 2 17:46 Leino ms 19 22 25 26 35 48 1 6 8 22 27 63 5v5
BUF 2 15:59 Gerbe ms 5 10 18 21 35 44 1 12 19 34 42 57 5v5
BUF 2 15:42 Pominville GOAL 5 17 18 21 35 44 1 19 26 29 34 57 5v5
PHI 2 12:41 Nodl rbd 15 28 35 41 44 1 17 19 28 29 63 4v5
PHI 2 12:24 Versteeg GOAL 6 10 28 35 41 1 22 28 34 57 63 4v5
PHI 2 11:45 Briere GOAL 5 19 25 35 36 48 1 4 12 17 22 63 5v5
BUF 2 9:51 ? deflection 5 10 35 36 41 1 17 19 21 26 29 4v5
BUF 2 8:45 Ennis wraparound 6 18 25 35 36 1 12 22 34 57 63 4v5
PHI 2 2:59 Versteeg ms on bkwy 10 18 21 25 26 35 1 4 17 19 26 29 5v5
PHI 2 2:05 Hartnell ms 19 22 25 35 41 48 1 12 28 34 42 57 5v5
BUF 2 0:04 Pominville bkwy 10 18 21 25 35 41 1 4 17 19 26 29 5v5
BUF 3 18:07 Connolly 6 10 18 21 35 41 19 26 29 30 34 57 5v5
PHI 3 16:42 Giroux ms 17 25 26 28 35 93 8 20 30 34 37 57 5v5
PHI 3 16:04 Coburn ms 5 19 22 35 44 48 4 12 17 28 30 42 5v5
BUF 3 15:51 Gaustad deflect 5 19 22 35 44 48 6 12 27 28 30 42 5v5
PHI 3 14:00 Carter 17 25 26 28 35 93 4 12 17 28 30 42 5v5
PHI 3 10:46 Zherdev 5 18 25 28 35 93 8 20 22 27 30 57 5v5
BUF 3 9:59 Gerbe GOAL 6 13 15 26 35 36 4 17 26 28 30 42 5v5
PHI 3 8:25 Zherdev 17 26 28 35 44 93 4 6 8 20 22 30 5v5
BUF 3 8:08 Gerbe 6 10 18 21 35 41 12 28 30 34 42 57 5v5
PHI 3 6:05 Carcillo 13 15 25 35 36 41 4 17 21 22 30 63 5v5
PHI 3 1:42 Carter ms 5 17 28 35 44 93 4 12 17 28 30 42 5v5
BUF 4 3:45 Vanek GOAL 19 25 35 41 48 21 26 30 34 57 4v4

 

# Player EV PP SH
5 B. COBURN 21:17 5 3 0:08 0 0 2:31 0 1
6 S. O'DONNELL 13:37 1 6 0:09 0 0 1:17 1 1
10 K. VERSTEEG 11:22 2 6 0:00 0 0 1:49 1 1
13 D. CARCILLO 9:04 1 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
15 A. NODL 10:26 1 2 0:00 0 0 0:41 1 0
17 J. CARTER 14:41 7 2 0:43 0 0 0:00 0 0
18 M. RICHARDS 13:13 3 7 1:17 0 0 2:19 0 1
19 S. HARTNELL 17:37 6 4 0:43 0 0 0:25 0 0
21 J. VAN RIEMSDYK 12:59 2 7 0:44 0 0 0:00 0 0
22 V. LEINO 16:05 5 2 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
25 M. CARLE 24:13 12 4 1:31 0 0 1:19 0 1
26 D. SYVRET 13:01 6 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
28 C. GIROUX 16:42 8 1 1:17 0 0 1:25 2 0
35 S. BOBROVSKY 55:16 17 13 2:00 0 0 4:00 2 2
36 D. POWE 10:30 2 2 0:00 0 0 1:10 0 2
41 A. MESZAROS 20:34 6 9 1:14 0 0 1:19 2 1
44 K. TIMONEN 17:58 4 3 0:29 0 0 1:34 1 0
48 D. BRIERE 16:58 6 3 0:43 0 0 0:11 0 0
93 N. ZHERDEV 12:47 8 1 1:02 0 0 0:00 0 0

 

  • Carle was dominant, generating a +8 chance differential. It is unfortunate his night ended the way it did because he was awesome.
  • Carter, Giroux and Zherdev were also excellent (seriously Lavy, what took so long?)
  • Richards, Versteeg, van Riemsdyk and O'Donnell all recorded big negatives in chance differential

Head to Head scoring chances

81_2011_medium

Here we can how dominant CZG was against everyone (except Butler). LBH also did well against the weaker competition. What is very worrying is the chances given up by Richards line, which is likely the one going to be playing the toughest minutes in the playoffs.

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 6 4 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 6 6 4 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
3 7 4 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 19 15 17 13 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0

    The Flyers outchanced the Sabres overall 19-15, 17-13 at even strength, didn't generate any chances on the powerplay and had even chances shorthanded 2-2. It should have been enough to win, if not for a fantastic effort from Gerbe and a lost edge in OT.

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