Where do Flyers stand after Day 1 of free agency?

Originally, this post failed to include Jody Shelley in the lineup. Wishful thinking, I guess. It's been updated to include scenarios in which Shelley is in the lineup and in which Shelley is waived and his contract is sent packing. It also had a wrong salary number for Andreas Lilja, which has been fixed. - Travis

First up, a roundup of everything that's happened today in the world of the Philadelphia Flyers. It's been a lot -- this actually might be the most stories we've ever posted in one day (this one makes it 13). In chronological order:

So that's where we stand through the first six or so hours of the free agent frenzy, and there are rumors that the Flyers aren't done. They still have restricted free agent Wayne Simmonds to take care of and there's room for one more forward on the roster as well.

Let's take a look at exactly where the team stands today, because we need a serious reset right about now.

As always, we get help from the phenomenal CapGeek. The back end first, because it seems basically set. 

Kimmo Timonen ($6.333m) / Chris Pronger ($4.921m)
Andrej Meszaros ($4.000m) / Matt Carle ($3.437m)
Braydon Coburn ($3.200m) / Andreas Lilja ($0.750m)
Oskars Bartulis ($0.600m)

Ilya Bryzgalov ($5.666m) / Sergei Bobrovsky ($1.750m)

This is with both Lilja and Bartulis on the roster, which we can probably assume. Can't see why they wouldn't carry a seventh defenseman if they can with the cap, and there's no sense in keeping Bartulis or Lilja in the AHL. This is likely what we're looking at when it comes to the defense next season, unless another big splash is made and somebody is traded away or acquired. 

The goaltenders are also set, of course. Unless they decide to ship of Bob, which would save them a little bit of money.

Now, to the forwards:

Here are how things look right now. There's one open spot, and it's lined up for Wayne Simmonds. Both Eric and Geoff have projected his salary to fall somewhere just shy of $2 million per year. Let's plug him in at $1.8 million. I think it's a relatively safe bet. 

James van Riemsdyk ($1.654m) / Daniel Briere ($6.500m) / Claude Giroux ($3.750m)
Jaromir Jagr ($3.300m) / Scott Hartnell ($4.200m) / Jakub Voracek ($2.250m)
Maxime Talbot ($1.800m) / Brayden Schenn ($3.110m) / Wayne Simmonds ($1.800m)
Jody Shelley ($1.100m) / Blair Betts ($0.700m) / Andreas Nodl ($0.845m)

And here's what the cap space looks like in this scenario. 

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $61,668,095; BONUSES: $3,815,000
CAP SPACE (21-man roster): $2,631,905

If they were to take Schenn out of that lineup and leave him in the AHL, they'd open a spot on the roster and we'd have a cap situation that looks like this with one spot to fill. 

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $58,558,095; BONUSES: $1,700,000
CAP SPACE (20-man roster): $5,741,905

Now, what if the team were to waive Jody Shelley? That would open up an entirely different can of worms. Here's the roster with no Shelley, but including Schenn and Simmonds.

James van Riemsdyk ($1.654m) / Daniel Briere ($6.500m) / Claude Giroux ($3.750m) 
Jakub Voracek ($2.250m) / Brayden Schenn ($3.110m) /  Jaromir Jagr ($3.300m) 
Wayne Simmonds ($1.800m) / OPEN / Scott Hartnell ($4.200m) 
Andreas Nodl ($0.845m) / Blair Betts ($0.700m) / 
Maxime Talbot ($1.800m)

Here's where things get fun. With Simmonds in, the Flyers have to plug in one more forward via free agency. They could opt to do things with just the one hole to plug, or they could opt to keep Schenn in the AHL with the Phantoms while they add two pieces. Let's look at the cap with those two options.

Without Shelley, With Schenn, With Simmonds (no holes)

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $60,568,095; BONUSES: $3,815,000
CAP SPACE (20-man roster): $3,731,905

Without Shelley, Without Schenn, With Simmonds (two forward holes)

SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $57,458,095; BONUSES: $1,700,000
CAP SPACE (19-man roster): $6,841,905

So that's around $4 million for a third line forward if you think Brayden Schenn makes the team, or that's around $7 million for a third line center and a winger if you think Schenn shouldn't make the team. 

Let's look at those available, classified by likely cap hit. The number shown is what they earned against the cap last year. 

HIGH ($4.5m-plus)

Brad Richards ($7.800m)
Tim Connolly ($4.500m)

IN THE MIDDLE ($2m to $4.5m)

Teemu Selanne ($3.250m)
Simon Gagne ($5.250m)
Sergei Samsonov ($2.800m)
Antti Miettinen ($2.333m)
Alex Kovalev ($5.000m)
Jamie Langenbrunner ($2.800m)
Jason Arnott ($4.500m)
Michal Handzus ($4.000m) -- signed with SJS
J.P. Dumont ($4.000m)

LOW (under $2m)

Sean Bergenheim ($0.700m) -- signed with FLA
Nicklas Bergfors ($0.900m)
John Madden ($1.000m)
Ryan Shannon ($0.625m)
Anthony Stewart ($0.632m)

The numbers aren't exact and this is a wacky free agent market, so let's not hold me to the specifics. I think these are decent estimations though. There are a lot of options here, obviously. Some old, some young, some familiar, some not. 

So now you can plug and play, see where guys fit and where guys don't fit. What kind of players should the Flyers be targeting? I guess that depends partly on whether or not you see Brayden Schenn making the team, and what role you see him playing.

This is where we stand right now. It might not be where we stand on Monday or tomorrow or in an hour with the way things have been going in the last eight days, but as of the second I hit the PUBLISH button, it's where we stand. 

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