FanPost

Vezina Roulette or Fun with Goalie Stats

Okay. It’s raining outside. The regular season is over. Let’s play with numbers. Goalie numbers. Let’s see why certain names will be getting the Vezina nod and others, not so much.

I decided to take a look at the goalie leaders in stats from Yahoo! By process of elimination I hope to determine who the five candidates will be for the Vezina.

[Note: Dividing the number of Minutes Played by 60 gave me an adjusted number of games (Adj#gms) to use for two measures, Win% (number of games won divided by Adj#gms) and Avg# SA/gm (number of Shots Against divided by Adj#gms). For example:

Bob played 2219 minutes for an Adj#gms of 36.98. He won 21 games for a Win% of .568 and saw 1084 Shots Against for an Avg# SA/gm of 29.3. ]

So looking at the leaders in the various categories, I first zeroed in on the top leaders in GAA:

Player

Team

GAA

Avg# SA/gm

Sv%

Win%

Minutes Played

Craig Anderson

OTT

1.69

28.6

.941

.507

1421

Ray Emery

CHI

1.94

24.7

.922

.895

1116

Corey Crawford

CHI

1.94

26.2

.926

.647

1761

Bob

CBJ

2.00

29.3

.932

.568

2219

Tuukka Rask

BOS

2.00

27.9

.929

.559

2104

One can conclude from the above chart that Corey thinks Chicago is a great team to play for even if his teammates like Ray best. Also, note that although Craig thinks he is the greatest stats leader on earth, his teammates don’t give him any support care. Tuukka is the next Tim Thomas and Bob is just being Bob.

Here are your top leaders in Sv%:

Player

Team

Sv%

Avg# SA/gm

Win%

Minutes Played

Craig Anderson

OTT

.941

28.6

.507

1421

Bob

CBJ

.932

29.3

.568

2219

Tuukka Rask

BOS

.929

27.9

.559

2104

Cory Schneider

VAN

.927

28.9

.589

1733

Corey Crawford

BOS

.926

26.2

.647

1761

We’ve now dropped Ray in favor of Cory minus e. Craig is on the cusp. Let’s see if he survives to the final round. By the way, Bob is insane.

Looking at who had the most wins starting with 20 or more, I ranked each by Win% and got an interesting chart:

Player

Team

Win%

Avg# SA/gm

Sv%

GAA

Marc-Andre Fleury

PGH

.743

28.44

.916

2.39

Brayden Holtby

WSH

.661

32.25

.920

2.58

Niklas Backstrom

MIN

.608

27.16

.909

2.48

Bob

CBJ

.568

29.3

.932

2.00

Evgeni Nabokov

NYI

.558

27.61

.910

2.50

It shows that having guys named Crosby, Malkin, Ovechkin, Parise, Kolvu and Pominville on your team helps a lot. Good job Nabokov, but Bob is awesomer. Obviously, this statistic has nothing to do with how good a goalie is but rather how good your team is at winning (in spite of the goalie in some cases).

By the way, Team Russia has told Varly that he is not needed at the IIHF Worlds as he is guaranteed to be selected for Solchi. In light of this and the fact that Bryz (starter) and Bob (back-up) have been selected for the Worlds, here’s a chart comparing the three for this shortened season:

Player

Team

GAA

Sv%

Win%

Avg# SA/gm

Minutes Played

Varly

AVS

3.02

.903

.338

30.98

1950

Bryz

PHI

2.79

.900

.496

27.8

2298

Bob

CBJ

2.00

.932

.568

27.3

2219

As you can see Varly gets a free pass, this is Bryz’s last chance, and Bob, who dragged his USA team to the brink of making it and greatly contributed to SKA Petersburg’s success, gets shafted.

Now back to the Vezina race. Somewhere I read you had to go with a minimum of 27 games played, so adjusting for that eliminates Craig and Ray. I also went with at least an average of 27 shots against per game which cuts out Corey. So I scrounged around for more candidates and brought in three new prospects (*):

Player

Team

GAA

Sv%

Win%

Avg# SA/gm

Minutes Played

Bob

CBJ

2.00

.932

.568

29.3

2219

King Henry*

NYR

2.05

.926

.559

27.7

2575

Tuukka Rask

BOS

2.00

.929

.542

27.9

2104

Antti Niemi*

SAN

2.16

.924

.558

28.4

2581

Cory Schneider

VAN

2.11

.927

.589

28.9

1733

Jimmy Howard*

DET

2.13

.923

.515

27.7

2446

So there's your Vezina candidates. I think Cory and Jimmy are fighting for the last spot – Cory has less minutes but Jimmy has the lowest save and win % as well as highest GAA of the group. I’m sure a case can be made for others but it was an interesting exercise. For a more serious, better researched article see Kurt R.’s piece on finding the Best NHL Goalie.

This item was written by a member of this community and is not necessarily endorsed by <em>Broad Street Hockey</em>.

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