FanPost

Defining the performance of NHL lines: looking at Flyers Forwards (part 2)


So in Part 1, I looked tried to define 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th line players and separate them based on performance.

In part 2, I will use that information to compare the average 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th liners to the Flyers forwards.

First, lets re-paste the two tables for reference.


Forward Lines players avg GP TOI/60 even strength Max minutes Min minutes Rel Corsi / 60 min Corsi On / 60 min Rel Corsi QOC Corsi QOC On ice SH % On ice SV% PDO GF/60 Rel GF/60 GA/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is a good thing) GD/60 Rel GD/60 O zone start %
1st 510 71.34705882 14.42380273 17.8 13.47 5.767022163 4.293413632 0.535742239 0.313444026 9.373055228 0.911114939 1004.845491 2.936672512 0.753002461 2.611887141 0.313913379 0.324785371 0.439089082 52.65371134
2nd 543 67.01657459 12.83452982 13.47 12.19 1.930067594 1.396441857 0.5134547 0.294733197 8.41610905 0.915702069 999.8631592 2.52384902 0.154145804 2.467837711 0.093307059 0.056011309 0.060838745 49.90640494
3rd 687 52.92430859 11.3541115 12.19 10.36 -1.195302872 -1.123923901 0.311433374 0.131443054 7.749786884 0.918505992 996.0038608 2.215858792 -0.241978539 2.354658814 -0.087945411 -0.138800023 -0.154033128 48.87820797
4th 1145 31.79475983 8.468449938 10.36 1.92 -6.285112749 -5.223100963 -0.31251398 -0.398100197 6.571980541 0.922047785 987.7675905 1.716349126 -0.843968026 2.213212638 -0.248258453 -0.496863513 -0.595709573 49.52742407


Forward Lines Group players avg GP TOI/60 even strength Rel Corsi / 60 min Corsi On / 60 min Rel Corsi QOC Corsi QOC On ice SH % On ice SV% PDO GF/60 Rel GF/60 GA/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is a good thing) GD/60 Rel GD/60 O zone start %
1st line 1 123 73.64227642 14.55834732 14.00552116 11.51982783 0.403332262 0.148170037 9.440397686 0.912236781 1006.640757 3.167676895 1.023903526 2.450149394 0.201800504 0.717527501 0.822103021 54.39302672
1st line 2 127 71.88976378 14.39018401 8.123255645 5.380580914 0.513694515 0.36709378 9.352200657 0.91046849 1003.990497 2.957474206 0.799516978 2.588018272 0.226354391 0.369455935 0.573162587 52.80560894
1st line 3 125 72.856 14.3735017 3.735361432 2.710360712 0.558863804 0.298087236 9.328432954 0.910216771 1003.5011 2.872127529 0.656458504 2.669070954 0.395476273 0.203056574 0.260982231 52.52868956
1st line 4 135 67.34814815 14.37390453 -2.879793406 -2.505685353 0.66835565 0.441659488 9.370763799 0.911532463 1005.240101 2.747316232 0.529590002 2.741806908 0.433369584 0.005509324 0.096220418 50.8711845
0
2nd line 1 148 61.63513514 12.94308485 11.20425194 8.194405005 0.390037355 0.120941038 8.422856946 0.914096683 998.3252528 2.69898012 0.387298743 2.400166279 -0.010852511 0.298813841 0.398151255 52.5307806
2nd line 2 125 72.904 12.8349369 4.610891792 2.691226245 0.473334758 0.381075736 8.593504619 0.912829011 998.7640575 2.592575303 0.268759882 2.521271788 0.170111455 0.071303515 0.098648427 50.48778765
2nd line 3 128 71 12.76299736 -0.269179047 0.550710842 0.524155335 0.269548043 8.50356674 0.915212667 1000.248334 2.54090607 0.14672876 2.506765231 0.125122927 0.034140839 0.021605833 50.15368975
2nd line 4 142 63.85211268 12.79660527 -8.01112173 -5.980831955 0.668789008 0.409717649 8.14298285 0.92072121 1002.151039 2.259305219 -0.191232384 2.443917708 0.090066891 -0.184612489 -0.281299275 46.40259795
0
3rd line 1 187 48.7540107 11.44255347 8.976978849 6.256481189 0.249561611 0.068897873 7.885147059 0.917239067 996.0905381 2.452412613 0.083732331 2.282170086 -0.256793956 0.170242527 0.340526286 51.70301264
3rd line 2 155 58.67096774 11.38535738 1.387519621 1.115945524 0.241085034 0.100136812 7.929812884 0.917628879 996.9270074 2.323195134 -0.114182337 2.375929172 -0.059924965 -0.052734038 -0.054257371 50.69426721
3rd line 3 161 56.29192547 11.25171135 -4.063266132 -2.968953631 0.3289061 0.116968862 7.700721975 0.919896293 996.9035126 2.139363404 -0.336484557 2.331176515 -0.104496018 -0.19181311 -0.231988539 48.21687828
3rd line 4 184 49.375 11.33623335 -11.2560518 -9.024753315 0.427528115 0.240601736 7.480271868 0.919294497 994.0972155 1.94407828 -0.606805086 2.429952205 0.071304719 -0.485873924 -0.678109805 44.84594056
0
4th line 1 351 25.87179487 8.932099989 4.978200805 3.821162662 -0.36135277 -0.400073262 6.565789328 0.919269507 984.9273998 1.910681967 -0.593944598 2.161445106 -0.324213114 -0.250763139 -0.269731484 52.52545935
4th line 2 216 42.06018519 8.6983082 -3.731591958 -3.5089156 -0.332940751 -0.40108995 6.683010259 0.924401854 991.2319568 1.779709565 -0.765781895 2.110747692 -0.362399777 -0.331038127 -0.403382118 49.86808879
4th line 3 230 39.60434783 8.449231529 -9.525694633 -8.430940689 -0.282488663 -0.346340444 6.711778693 0.922482591 989.6003781 1.683903069 -0.863225852 2.249102016 -0.224568738 -0.565198947 -0.638657113 48.38293581
4th line 4 348 26.23563218 7.79773713 -18.44883266 -13.96233976 -0.266656191 -0.448488867 6.304662352 0.922130098 985.1767218 1.4596871 -1.194793413 2.347129661 -0.060635182 -0.887442561 -1.134158232

46.97080685

So now let's go through some of the Flyers forwards and see how they compare to the rest of the league. Quick reminder, these are even strength stats only. Also, because of the shortened season, the games played obviously will not match with the charts (which take averages from 82 game seasons).

Note: After each chart there will be two categories: Line and group. Line references which major group the player falls in based on minutes played (first chart). Group references what sub group the player falls in based on Relative Corsi (second chart)

We'll go alphabetically:

Adam Hall

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ADAMHALL PHI LW 37 8.39 -14 -19.33 0.105 1.132 6.96 946 1016 1.55 -1.45 1.55 -1.53 3 3.08 0 0.08 16.1

Line: 4

Group: between 3 and 4

Hall came to the Flyers in a trade mid season. These stats reflect season totals (not just with the Flyers). He was a 4th liner, and his time on ice reflects that. He faced tough competition for a fourth liner, but his possession numbers reflect that (-14 Rel Corsi). His low O-zone start % is particularly surprising, and it is yet another reason for his low Corsi stats.

With the Flyers, he went pointless in 11 games. It should be noted that he faced unusually tough competition/usage for a fourth liner at even strength. His GD/60 and Rel GD/60 are very close to 0, which considering that he is a fourth liner is a very good thing. His on-ice shooting percentage is slightly higher than most fourth liners, but he was considerably luckier with his on ice save percentage.

Brayden Schenn

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season BRAYDENSCHENN PHI C 47 12.65 2.9 -4.04 0.523 1.535 8.24 894 977 2.32 -0.01 3.13 0.38 2.33 2.75 -0.81 -0.39 52.8

Line: 2

Group: between 2 and 3

Schenn finished the year with 8 goals and 26 points. While Schenn did not make the next step in terms of production, it must be noted that this is only Schenn's second full year in the NHL. As a 21 year old, he still has plenty of room to grow.

Schenn played 2nd line minutes for the Flyers this year. As a 2nd liner, his Rel Corsi Numbers are slightly above average. However, since the Flyers were a poor team his Corsi on ice is negative. Considering Schenn's age, this is a very comforting fact. Schenn may not be lighting up the world yet, but he seems to be playing well and most importantly has time to develop.

Schenn's Rel Corsi QOC was right near the average for second liners.

We should expect at the very least his on ice save percentage to rise as he had a very low number this year. Hopefully he gets a little luckier and the Flyers goaltending situation improves.

Claude Giroux

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season CLAUDEGIROUX PHI RW 48 15.09 9.8 0.99 0.262 1.184 9.23 887 979 2.9 0.88 3.48 1.02 2.02 2.46 -0.58 -0.14 47.3

Line: 1

Group: 2

Giroux's Rel Corsi puts him near the 2nd group of first liners. However, he faced easier competition than most first line players (low Rel Corsi QOC for a first liner)

Giroux was a point per game player this season. He developed good chemistry with Voracek. Girioux was very good on the powerplay (8th in NHL in Points/60 on power play).

One thing to note is that Giroux had an abysmal on ice save percentage. This fact should account partially for his poor goal differential numbers.

Daniel Briere

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season DANIELBRIERE PHI RW 34 12.7 -1.8 -5.7 -0.015 0.719 6.97 892 961 1.95 -0.71 3.48 0.82 2.66 2.66 -1.53 -1.53 51.2

Line:2

Group: group 3

We saw probably the last of Danny Briere in a Flyers uniform this past season. Briere played second line minutes (when healthy), but was below average in his possession stats for 2nd liners. He also faced easier competition than most first liners, and yet his possession numbers were not great and his points dropped significantly.

Briere had a very poor PDO (both SH% and SV%) were very low. His GD/60 and Rel GD/60 were incredibly poor.

Briere did not have the greatest season, and that combined with his age and contract will likely mean that he will be bought out next year.

EriC Wellwood

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ERICWELLWOOD PHI C 4 8.83 -8.5 -6.8 -0.336 0.125 0 1000 1000 0 -1.32 0 -1.32 1.32 1.32 0 0 52.6

Line: 4

Group: 3

We did not see much of Wellwood this year, and of course we are all hoping he recovers from his horrific injury a few months ago. He played most of his time in the AHL, and when up with the Flyers he played (predictably) fourth line minutes. We can't pull much from Wellwood's stats since of how small the sample size is. We can notice that he played slightly below average as a fourth liner. But again the small sample size limits what we can pull from Wellwood's performance.

Harry Zolniercyzkk

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season HARRYZOLNIERCZYKK PHI LW 7 7.32 -35.9 -29.28 -0.922 -1.864 5 967 1017 1.17 -2.57 1.17 -0.81 3.74 1.98 0 -1.76 52.4

Line: 4

Group: 4

I will admit perhaps the biggest surprise I had while looking at these numbers for each player was for Zolnierczykk. From just watching games I thought Zolnierczykk played very well in the few games he played.

However, his possession numbers (although in a small sample size) are horrific. A -35.9 Rel Corsi is awful, and he did that with very easy competition (even for a fourth liner).

We won't need to worry about whether Zolnierczykk's numbers are revealing or just a product of small sample size, as he was traded to Aneheim mid season.

Jakub Voracek

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season JAKUBVORACEK PHI RW 48 13.09 17.5 6.97 0.405 1.495 10.33 857 960 3.25 1.31 3.82 1.43 1.94 2.39 -0.57 -0.12 49.6

Line: 2

Group: 1

Voracek has a breakout season for the Flyers. He was arguably their best player, and was probably their best power play performer. His Corsi numbers (rel corsi 17.5) are great.

One thing this data shows is that Laviolette did not get Voracek nearly enough even strength minutes. He was so good and yet he played only slightly above average second line minutes. This definitely needs to change next year.

Production wise Voracek was a beast. With 22 goals and 46 points, he was great. However, the caveat is that his personal and on ice shooting percentage were very high. We all need to face the fact that Voracek will not shoot 17% next year. He may be a good shooter in the NHL, but he is not good enough to shoot at 17% year in and year out. His on ice shooting percentage was also elevated, though not nearly as high as his personal SH%. 10.33% is definitely an elite number even for top 1st liners, but considering Voracek has had a 9.5 on ice SH% four times in his career, a 10.33 on ice SH% is not that crazy a number for Voracek's career.

Competition wise he faced Rel corsi QOC compatible with his placement of line 2 group 1. However, Voracek is in reality a first line player and we can expect teams to start game planning for Voracek in the seasons to come.

I'd say for next year we might be able to expect a slight decline in production next year, but overall I believe Voracek is here to stay as very good top line forward in this league.

Jason Akeson

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season JASONAKESON PHI RW 1 12.38 20.7 -4.85 2.635 10.913 25 1000 1250 9.69 9.69 0 -1.7 0 1.7 9.69 11.39 50

Line:2

Group: 1

Akeson had a very good year down in the AHL. With 20 goals and 53 points, there is definitely promise in this young prospect. In his one game with the Flyers, he actually played significant minutes at around the second line level. He scored a goal in that one game and seemed to play very well. However, sample size is far too small to pull anything from this data.

Akeson definitely will be a possibility to fill a fourth line role next season, and we can only hope his production at the AHL level will translate to the NHL.

Jody Shelley

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season JODYSHELLEY PHI LW 1 7.97 -31 -7.53 -0.833 2.479 - 1000 - 0 -1.47 0 0 1.47 0 0 -1.47 60

Line: 4

Group: 4

There is not much to say about Shelley. He is a 37 year old enforcer who has no value anymore in the NHL. In fact, he really is a liability whenever he steps on the ice. He has been a terrible possession player the last few seasons, and although we can't pull anything from this year we know that Shelley should not be on the Flyers next year.

Matt Read

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season MATTREAD PHI RW 42 13.6 0.7 -7.46 0.51 1.837 9.89 912 1011 2.73 0.52 2.63 -0.19 2.21 2.82 0.1 0.71 47

Line: 1

Group: between 3 and 4

After a great rookie season, many were disappointed in Read's production. In 42 games he accumulated 11 goals and 24 points. However, while Read may have only played 2 years in the NHL, he is already 26. Thus, his improvement year to year will be far less than a normal 2nd year player. His Rel Corsi was just above 0, which is not very good considering he played minutes that place him somewhere between a 1st and 2nd line player at even strength.

He faced average competition for a 2nd line player. He had a very good on ice SH%, though it was actually a decline from last year's performance. Similarly, he had a fantastic personal SH% at 15.3%, but again that represents a decline from his rookie year when he sported a 15.5 SH%. Having played only 2 seasons and only 121 NHL games, it still is too early to determine a whether Read really is a 15% shooter (unlikely) or has just been hot to start his career.

Read's goal differential numbers are good considering he was on a bad team, which is a hopeful sign.

Maxime Talbot

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season MAXIMETALBOT PHI C 35 11.6 -10.8 -11.23 1.333 1.544 8.7 917 1004 2.36 0.47 2.36 -0.52 1.89 2.88 0 0.99 35.2

Line: 3

Group: 4

Talbot is a prototypical defense - first forward. He plays alot of minutes at even strength for a third line forward. He played the most minutes per game on the penalty kill, as well as having the highest Rel Corsi QOC amongst Flyers forwards. His Corsi numbers are very poor, though much of that results from his usage as a top defensive forward. His Rel GD/60 is very good, esepcially for a defensive forward playing tough minutes.

Talbot did not have as a good of a season production wise. After scoring 19 goals last year, he chipped in only 5 goals and 5 assists. However, he is not counted on for scoring as much as helping shut down the opposition.

Mike Knuble

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season MIKEKNUBLE PHI RW 28 10.9 -1.6 -7.08 0.496 0.627 7.52 898 973 1.97 -0.7 2.75 -0.57 2.67 3.32 -0.78 -0.13 43.5

Line: 3

Group: between 2 and 3

Knuble played low minutes for a 3rd line forward. After producing 20 goals for 9 years straight, Knuble has scored 10 goals in the last 2 years. As a 40 year old, he is on his last legs of his career. His Rel Corsi was not too bad, and he played strong competition for a 3rd line player and had a 43.5% o zone start. His Goal differential numbers are not the best, though is Rel GD is not too bad.

His on ice shooting percentage wasn't abnormal for a third line player, though is on ice save percentage.

In the end, Knuble is an aging forward whose time in the NHL is nearing an end.

Ruslan Fedotenko

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season RUSLANFEDOTENKO PHI LW 47 9.48 -13.8 -16.29 0.232 0.699 11.36 929 1043 2.69 0.49 2.02 -1.01 2.2 3.03 0.67 1.5 35.7

Line: 4

Group: between 3 and 4

Fedotenko spent the year on fourth line for the Flyers. With 4 goals and 13 points, he certainly wasn't lighting the world on fire. Fedetenko's Rel Corsi lies somewhere between groups 3 and 4 of the 4th liners, but he did face competition closer to that of what a 3rd line player might face. He was probably a bit lucky considering is high on ice SH% of 11.36 and On ice save percentage of .929. His Goal differntial numbers were very good (closer to what we might see from a 1st liner).

Fedetenko is a UFA this summer, and if the Flyers choose to resign him he should come relatively cheap.

Scott Hartnell

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season SCOTTHARTNELL PHI RW 32 12.57 17.4 4.47 0.45 1.946 6.03 911 971 1.79 -0.44 2.39 -0.49 2.23 2.88 -0.6 0.05 49.8

Line:2

Group: 1

Scott Hartnell was easily the most disappointing Flyer this season. After 37 goals and 67 points the year before, Hartnell had only 8 goals and 3 assists this past season. We should definitely take Hartnell's injuries into account. Hartnell was injured for much of the year and as a result was most likely not 100% during this season.

While Hartnell may never score 37 goals again, we definitely should expect a semi-bounce back season next year. For one thing, Hartnell, playing 2nd line minutes, had a great Rel Corsi number that puts him at the top of 2nd line players. His Rel Corsi QOC is also very good for his position in group 1 of line 2.

His shooting percentage of over 15% last season came down to 10.8% this year, while his on ice shooting percentage came down from 9.76 % to 6.03%. We should definitely expect the on ice shooting percentage to go up, while this year's personal shooting percentage is probably closer to reality as his career shooting percentage is 11.3%.

Many are calling for Hartnell to be taken off the top line, but I think that just the opposite action should be taken. I believe putting Hartnell back with Giroux and Voracek is the best option. Looking at Hartnell's WOWY numbers, Hartnell played very well with G and V. Both Giroux and Hartnell were about 5% better in terms of CF% together then when apart. When playing with Hartnell, Voracek also experianced a 5% CF% jump, though it seems from the data that Voracek was partially carrying Hartnell. Nevertheless, Voracek's 57% CF% when playing with Hartnell tells us that they play well together.

Hartnell might never be an all star again in his career, but he can be a valuable asset on the first line with Giroux and Voracek.

Scott Laughton

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season SCOTTLAUGHTON PHI C 5 10.99 -15.7 -15.28 -0.593 -0.825 0 1000 1000 0 -2.28 0 -1.14 2.28 1.14 0 -1.14 29.6

Line: 3

Group: 4

Laughton is being hailed as a very good two way player. He recieved some heavy praise this year after a very good year in Oshawa (56 points in the regular season and a strong post season). He began the year up with the Flyers, but was not able to contribute much. Poor Corsi stats, even with poor QOC numbers show that the Flyers were probably right in sending him back down to the OHL.

But of course with young players like this with a small sample size, his stats in 5 games are far less important than his development down in junior. A few NHL scouts said that Laughton was the best player in the OHL this year. Hopefully Laughton will continue to develop as he matures towards the NHL. He will definitely be in the mix for a roster spot next year.

Sean Couturier

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season SEANCOUTURIER PHI C 46 11.39 2.1 -4.24 0.952 1.936 7.26 887 960 2.06 -0.31 3.09 0.5 2.37 2.59 -1.03 -0.81 32.1

Line: 3

Group: 2

I would hate to beat a dead horse. Kurt wrote a great piece on Couturier that I would advise everyone to read. Playing third line minutes, Sean's Rel Corsi places him in group 2 of line 3. However, as one of the team's top defensive forwards, Couturier's rel Corsi QOC of nearly 1 and his ridiculously low Offensive zone start % show that he was used against top players often in the defensive zone. As a result, his Rel Corsi (which is still in the black) is even more impressive.

Couturier's on ice shooting percentage was slightly below average for a third line forward, but was down about 2% from last year. His personal shooting percentage was an abysmal 5%, and we can expect that to go up significantly next year.

I'll stop here on Courtier, since Kurt's article goes far more in depth. Playing Couturier in a more offensive role could provide Couturier the opportunity to produce at a much higher level. However, Couturier is also playing well in his defensive role, so the Flyers have a lot of options with Couturier.

Simon Gagne

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season SIMONGAGNE PHI LW 38 11.91 -3 -3.18 0.356 1.948 8.18 908 990 2.39 0.29 2.65 -0.07 2.1 2.72 -0.26 0.36 52.6

Line: 3

Group: 3

Gagne returned to the Flyers this season in a trade with the Kings. Gagne played 2nd line minutes this season with the Kings and Flyers. His Rel Corsi QOC was low for a second line forward, as was his possession numbers.

He Chiped in 5 goals and 6 assists for the Flyers in 27 games. This data seems to point towards a drop in playing time if the Flyers choose to resign Gagne. Gagne definitely will be taking a pay cut on his next contract, and he most likely should be given third line minutes or less rather than 2nd line minutes.

Tye McGinn

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season TYEMCGINN PHI LW 18 11.02 15.2 13.61 0.101 0.237 6.86 908 977 2.12 -0.23 2.12 -1.46 2.35 3.58 0 1.23 50.4

Line: 3

Group:1

We got to see a decent amount of young Tye McGinn this year. Advanced stats tell us that McGinn had a played well in his 18 game stint with the Flyers. Playing 3rd line even strength minutes, McGinn sports a fantastic 15.2 Rel Corsi and 13.6 Corsi. As a rookie he did not play the toughest minutes (.1 Rel Corsi QOC), but he played very well against the competition he faced.

Production wise he only had 3 goals and 2 assists in 18 games. He produced more with the Phantoms in the AHL however with 14 goals and 26 points in 42 games. His on ice shooting percentage was pretty low for a third line player, and hopefully that will rise if he stays with the Flyers next season.

Wayne Simmonds

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season WAYNESIMMONDS PHI RW 45 12.2 1.4 -4.15 0.226 1.448 7.3 914 987 2.19 -0.18 2.73 -0.18 2.37 2.91 -0.54 0 49.7

Line: 2

Group: between 2 and 3

Simmonds experienced a very good year production wise with 15 goals and 32 points in 45 games. Part of that success lies on his heavy usage on the power play. He played the third most minutes per game on the power play amongst Flyers forwards.

His Rel Corsi was slightly below average, and he faced easy competition for a 2nd liner. However, this year's corsi numbers are a vast improvement over previous years. Thus far in his career Simmonds has not been the strongest possession player. Eric T found that he is also a very weak (at least in 2011-2012) neutral zone performer. So while his Rel Corsi is not the best for a 2nd liner it should be encouraging that it is improving.

His on ice shooting percentage was low for a 2nd liner, and we should expect that to improve a little next year.

Zach Rinaldo

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ZACRINALDO PHI LW 32 8.32 -17.3 -18.7 -0.236 0.36 5.88 892 950 1.13 -1.27 2.93 -0.01 2.4 2.94 -1.8 -1.26 39.3

Line: 4

Group: 4

Rinaldo's advanced stats are very interesting. By the eye test (or at least my eye test) he seams to be a very good fourth line player who can disrupt the play on the fourth check and bring a physical edge. However, advanced stats tell us he is a liability on the ice.

Rinaldo is in the fourth group of the fourth line in terms of Rel Corsi. Translation: in terms of Rel Corsi he ranks as one of the worst forwards in the NHL in the past 6 years.

To Rinaldo's credit, he faces tougher minutes than most fourth liners and started a lot of shifts in the defensive zone. We also can see that he was unlucky (sporting a 950 PDO).

His GD numbers are not very good, both normal GD/60 and Rel GD/60.

Well this gives us a lot of information to soak in. I am going to stop here. In Part 3, I am going to analyze the forwards a little more and see if what we can learn from all this data.

This item was written by a member of this community and is not necessarily endorsed by <em>Broad Street Hockey</em>.

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