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Projecting Flyers prospect point production through January

Justin Bailey, David Bernhardt. Things of that nature.

NHL: Preseason-New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

After a brief mention of it last year, we’ve decided to provide a monthly update on each of the Philadelphia Flyers’ prospects NHL equivalency projections (or NHLe). As stated when the original article was posted last season, this is by no means a perfect way to measure how a prospect is developing, but it one of the better measures we currently have at our disposal.

A lot has happened with the Philadelphia Flyers over the last two months and the same could be said about their prospect pool. Both Radel Fazleev and Taylor Leier exited the organization, while Justin Bailey joined the farm system. On top of a few other less-anticipated prospects changing clubs, Joel Farabee has started to light up the NCAA with 18 points in his last 14 games to lead Boston University in scoring with ten goals and 24 points in 25 games this season. Let’s check in on the rest of the kids.

NHLe through February 4th

Player Team League Age Year in League Games Goals Assists Points NHLe
Player Team League Age Year in League Games Goals Assists Points NHLe
Morgan Frost SSM Greyhounds OHL 19 4 43 32 48 80 49
Tanner Laczynski Ohio State University NCAA (Big Ten) 21 3 21 8 17 25 32
Matthew Strome Hamilton Bulldogs OHL 20 4 51 22 39 61 31
Isaac Ratcliffe Guelph Storm OHL 19 4 47 34 22 56 31
Joel Farabee Boston University NCAA (Hockey East) 18 1 25 10 14 24 30
German Rubtsov Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 20 1 14 6 4 10 28
David Kase Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 22 1 20 4 9 13 25
Mike Vecchione Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 25 2 47 11 18 29 24
Philippe Myers Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 22 2 47 8 20 28 23
Justin Bailey Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 23 4 45 13 13 26 23
Mikhail Vorobyev Philadelphia Flyers NHL 22 1 12 1 1 2 23
Yegor Zamula Calgary Hitmen WHL 18 2 48 9 32 41 21
Connor Bunnaman Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 20 1 33 12 6 18 21
Noah Cates University of Minnesota-Duluth NCAA (NCHC) 19 1 24 6 8 14 20
Maxim Sushko Owen Sound Attack OHL 19 3 46 13 21 34 19
Wyatte Wylie Everett Silvertips WHL 19 4 51 8 29 37 17
Nicolas Aube-Kubel Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 22 4 32 10 8 18 17
Wyatt Kalynuk University of Wisconsin NCAA (Big Ten) 21 2 26 7 10 17 17
Wade Allison Western Michigan University NCAA (NCHC) 21 3 12 3 3 6 17
Mark Friedman Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 23 3 47 4 13 17 14
Carsen Twarynski Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 21 2 43 6 9 15 13
Olle Lycksell Linkoping HC SHL 19 2 39 2 7 9 13
Reece Willcox Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 24 4 40 1 12 13 12
Jack St. Ivany Yale University NCAA (ECAC) 19 1 18 3 6 9 11
Tyrell Goulbourne Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 25 4 38 5 6 11 10
Cole Bardreau Lehigh Valley Phantoms AHL 25 5 23 4 1 5 8
Jay O'Brien Providence College NCAA (Hockey East) 19 1 17 2 2 4 7
Linus Hogberg Vaxjo Lakers HC SHL 20 4 39 2 3 5 6
Adam Ginning Linkoping HC SHL 19 3 35 1 4 5 6
David Bernhardt Djurgardens IF SHL 21 3 24 0 3 3 6
Gavin Hain University of North Dakota NCAA (NCHC) 18 1 21 3 1 4 6
Valeri Vasiliev Severstal Cherepovets KHL 24 7 21 1 1 2 6
Marcus Westfalt Karlskrona HK Allsvenskan 18 1 11 0 1 1 5
Brendan Warren University of Michigan NCAA (Big Ten) 21 4 27 1 2 3 3
Sam Morin Philadelphia Flyers NHL 23 3 0 0 0 0 0
Pascal Laberge Philadelphia Flyers NHL 20 1 0 0 0 0 0

NOTES

  • Mikhail Vorobyev is still looking for his first point since rejoining the big club. Granted he’s totaled under 36 minutes of ice time playing at only even strength on a line with Phil Varone and Michael Raffl, so he isn’t exactly being set up for success. After four games without a shot attempt since rejoining the Flyers, Vorobyev finally had two shots on goal last night against the Vancouver Canucks as his 69.23 corsi for percentage is not only nice, but his best showing in any of his 12 NHL games to date. He rightfully earned the third-line center role out of camp before being sent down to the AHL after Dave Hakstol did Dave Hakstol stuff and his possession numbers are much better in the AHL, so this is hopefully (probably?) just Vorobyev taking his lumps on a way to a more cemented role in the lineup next season.
  • When are we seeing Philippe Myers soon? To go along with his 3.33 relative corsi for percentage with the Lehigh Valley Phantoms this season (thanks Bradley), Myers has 28 points in 47 games this season to be the second-highest scoring d-man on the Phantoms’ blue line behind only AHL legend T.J. Brennan. Out of the 339 defensemen who have played a game in the AHL this season, Myers is tenth with eight goals and 12th in points. Pair this with fact general manager Chuck Fletcher mentioned the blue liner by name last week as a player who should get some NHL action this season one has to think Myers’ chance is coming up any minute.
  • In the middle of January, Fletcher dealt Taylor Leier to the Buffalo Sabres in exchange for Justin Bailey. After the 6’4” winger notched 20 points in 37 games for the Rochester Americans, Bailey produced four points in his first six games with the Phantoms. He’s produced well at the AHL level (0.60 points-per-game in 204 contests), It isn’t too likely he ever becomes anything reliable at the NHL level for the Flyers, but he does possess just enough size and offensive upside to make the organization think about bringing back the 23-year-old for cheap next season since he’ll be a restricted free agent this summer.
  • Over in Europe, a few of the, ah, less-exciting prospects changed teams. In early January, Marcus Westfalt joined Karlskrona HK in the Allsvenskan, Sweden’s second-highest hockey league. The 2018 seventh-round pick has one assist through his first 11 games with his new team and hasn’t produced much outside of the SuperElit over the last two seasons, where he has 37 points in 38 games. David Bernhardt, a 21-year-old blue liner the Flyers took in the seventh round of 2016, left Djurgardens IF (who he was a part of their system since 2012-13) to join the Vaxjo Lakers HC, another SHL team. In his first eight games with the Lakers, Bernhardt has two assists, which is more than what he totaled in 16 games with Djurgardens IF this season. Last and certainly least, Valeri Vasiliev jumped from one KHL club (Severstal Cherepovets) to another (Metallurg Magnitogorsk) on a contract good through the 2019-20 season. The Flyers’ 2012 seventh-round pick has yet to produce a point in his first six games with Magnitogorsk and is averaging 14:57 of ice time per game.

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