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NHL playoff race: How Tuesday’s games impact Flyers, Red Wings hunt for postseason

After their big win against the New York Islanders on Monday night, the Flyers have firmly bounced back from Saturday’s frustrating loss to the Penguins. And as a result, the playoffs are still within their control — in fact, they have higher odds than the team currently ahead of them in the Eastern Conference Wild Card standings.

Here’s a full rundown of the outlook as of Tuesday morning:

(Standing) Team Points Games Remaining ROW Remaining Strength of Schedule (Points %) Current Playoff Teams Left On Schedule Back-To-Backs Left On Schedule Odds (SportsClubStats) Odds (Hockeyviz.com)
(M3) Pittsburgh 88 10 37 58.0% 5 2 98.3% 98%
(A3) Boston 86 9 35 56.4% 5 1 88.9% 78%
(W1) NY Islanders 85 11 34 56.9% 5 3 93.7% 91%
(W2) Detroit 83 10 34 54.3% 5 3 59.6% 66%
(W3) Philadelphia 82 11 33 54.9% 5 4 61.0% 72%

Games that matter tonight:

  • The Flyers, obviously. They are in Columbus.
  • Detroit’s got a big game down in Tampa against the Lightning. Decent chance for the Flyers to jump them if Tampa can give them some help.
  • Nobody else mentioned above plays tonight./

How much do tonight’s games matter?

This much! Here’s how each game could swing the Flyers’ current playoff hopes, according to the same two sites used above:

PHI @ CBJ PHI Reg W PHI OT W PHI SO W CBJ Reg W CBJ OT W CBJ SO W
Sportsclubstats +8.8% +8.8% +6.6% -11.7% -2.5% -2.5%
Hockeyviz +8% +8% +6% -12% -2% -2%

DET @ TB DET Reg W DET OT W DET SO W TB Reg W TB OT W TB SO W
Sportsclubstats -5.5% -6.1% -4.5% +4.3% -0.4% -0.4%
Hockeyviz -3% -4% -3% +3% 0% 0%

So if the Flyers beat Columbus in regulation, Philadelphia’s playoff chances will jump as high as 80 percent — which would be the highest their chances have been all year. The best case scenario would also be a Red Wings regulation loss, which would see the Flyers chances jump another 3 percent.

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